AI History in Papers
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Probability, statistics and origins

Cybernetics, information theory, PAC learning, SVMs, ensembles, Bayesian networks.

Probability, statistics and origins 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Solid lines are confirmed citations (OpenAlex or the citing paper's own reference list); dotted lines are influences stated in textbooks without a confirmed citation. Vertical position is the theme group.
YearFirst authorTitleEra
1948ShannonA Mathematical Theory of CommunicationCh. 1 Origins 1943–56
1948WienerCybernetics: or Control and Communication in the Animal and the MachineCh. 1 Origins 1943–56
1950TuringComputing Machinery and IntelligenceCh. 1 Origins 1943–56
1961MinskySteps toward Artificial IntelligenceCh. 2 Symbols and perceptrons 1956–74
1973LighthillArtificial Intelligence: A General SurveyCh. 2 Symbols and perceptrons 1956–74
1975HollandAdaptation in Natural and Artificial SystemsCh. 3 Knowledge systems and connectionism 1974–93
1975Newell & SimonComputer science as empirical inquiry: symbols and searchCh. 3 Knowledge systems and connectionism 1974–93
1976Dempster et al.Maximum Likelihood from Incomplete Data Via the EM AlgorithmCh. 3 Knowledge systems and connectionism 1974–93
1980SearleMinds, brains, and programsCh. 3 Knowledge systems and connectionism 1974–93
1984Geman & GemanStochastic Relaxation, Gibbs Distributions, and the Bayesian Restoration of ImagesCh. 3 Knowledge systems and connectionism 1974–93
1986QuinlanInduction of decision treesCh. 3 Knowledge systems and connectionism 1974–93
1988PearlProbabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible InferenceCh. 3 Knowledge systems and connectionism 1974–93
1989SchapireThe strength of weak learnabilityCh. 4 Statistical learning 1990–2011
1992Boser et al.A training algorithm for optimal margin classifiersCh. 4 Statistical learning 1990–2011
1993QuinlanC4.5: Programs for Machine LearningCh. 4 Statistical learning 1990–2011
1994BreimanBagging predictorsCh. 4 Statistical learning 1990–2011
1995Freund & SchapireA Decision-Theoretic Generalization of On-Line Learning and an Application to BoostingCh. 4 Statistical learning 1990–2011
1995Russell & NorvigArtificial Intelligence: A Modern ApproachCh. 4 Statistical learning 1990–2011
1995Cortes & VapnikSupport-vector networksCh. 4 Statistical learning 1990–2011
1996TibshiraniRegression Shrinkage and Selection Via the LassoCh. 4 Statistical learning 1990–2011
2001BreimanRandom ForestsCh. 4 Statistical learning 1990–2011
2003Blei et al.Latent Dirichlet AllocationCh. 4 Statistical learning 1990–2011
2014SchmidhuberDeep learning in neural networks: An overviewCh. 5 Deep learning 2012–17
2015LeCun et al.Deep learningCh. 5 Deep learning 2012–17
2021Jumper et al.Highly accurate protein structure prediction with AlphaFoldCh. 6 Pretraining and generation 2017–22
2021Bommasani et al.On the Opportunities and Risks of Foundation ModelsCh. 6 Pretraining and generation 2017–22